Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.029042 0.031294 0.033650 0.036301 0.039205 0.042293 0.045830
2025-02-02 0.025707 0.028957 0.032539 0.036795 0.041731 0.047296 0.054076
2025-02-09 0.023009 0.026777 0.031095 0.036440 0.042915 0.050557 0.060328
2025-02-16 0.021097 0.025202 0.030058 0.036272 0.044078 0.053648 0.066401
2025-02-23 0.019519 0.023833 0.029073 0.035972 0.044912 0.056240 0.071895
2025-03-02 0.018334 0.022823 0.028405 0.035943 0.045988 0.059106 0.077851
2025-03-09 0.017123 0.021674 0.027451 0.035426 0.046321 0.060935 0.082455
2025-03-16 0.015997 0.020552 0.026439 0.034731 0.046313 0.062233 0.086332
2025-03-23 0.015138 0.019721 0.025747 0.034397 0.046740 0.064108 0.091113
2025-03-30 0.014373 0.018968 0.025105 0.034071 0.047123 0.065902 0.095856
2025-04-06 0.013566 0.018110 0.024265 0.033402 0.046945 0.066827 0.099292
2025-04-13 0.013168 0.017795 0.024158 0.033764 0.048283 0.070068 0.106562
2025-04-20 0.012660 0.017304 0.023781 0.033716 0.049010 0.072440 0.112660
2025-04-27 0.012326 0.017043 0.023718 0.034124 0.050451 0.076008 0.121017
2025-05-04 0.011805 0.016485 0.023189 0.033790 0.050697 0.077665 0.126239
2025-05-11 0.011371 0.016034 0.022795 0.033634 0.051206 0.079762 0.132372
2025-05-18 0.010937 0.015561 0.022344 0.033360 0.051494 0.081493 0.137964
2025-05-25 0.010595 0.015212 0.022062 0.033333 0.052178 0.083922 0.145013
2025-06-01 0.010166 0.014711 0.021523 0.032861 0.052079 0.084977 0.149551
2025-06-08 0.009723 0.014174 0.020903 0.032225 0.051660 0.085429 0.152945
2025-06-15 0.009384 0.013783 0.020497 0.031919 0.051789 0.086858 0.158354
2025-06-22 0.009066 0.013413 0.020108 0.031621 0.051908 0.088265 0.163821
2025-06-29 0.008697 0.012949 0.019550 0.031008 0.051431 0.088530 0.166953